ask me about fantasy baseball v.2007

[34TheTruth34]

Crock-

thanks for doing this. Two questions:

1. I'm in a league where it's only pitching staffs, not individual pitchers. Just curious as to how you'd rank the overall staffs.

2. What do you think of Orlando Hudson this year?

thanks.

[ajml]

Anyone want to help me with a keeper league. We get to keep 8 players, for better or worse I already kept my first 5 (Santana, Halliday, Carpenter, Crawford, and Cabrera)

I now need to pick 3 out of: Atkins, Burrell, Delgado, Johjima, Carlos Lee, Rollins, Utley, and Michael Young.

I was thinking Utley, Lee and Rollins. Sound good?? Also, if my first 5 picks were stupid I could probably take them back.

[34TheTruth34]

OK, just completed my first draft of the year. Picked 7th out of 12. Think I did OK, but I'm not sure. Also, I didn't want Beltre, computer auto-picked him because I was lagging and timed out.


1 Alfonso Soriano (OF, CHC)
2 Jimmy Rollins (SS, PHI)
3 Matt Holliday (OF, COL)
4 Brian McCann (C, ATL)
5 Adrian Beltre (3B, SEA)
6 Prince Fielder (1B, MIL)
7 Minnesota Twins (P, MIN)
8 New York Mets (P, NYM)
9 Ian Kinsler (2B, TEX)
10 Nick Swisher (1B, OF, OAK)
11 Carlos Quentin (OF, ARI)
12 Florida Marlins (P, FLA)
13 David DeJesus (OF, KC)
14 Kevin Kouzmanoff (3B, SD)
15 Howie Kendrick (1B, 2B, LAA)

meh?

[curtis012]

Should I drop D. Lowe or Dave Bush???

[dknightx]

picked 1st in a 10 team league.

Roster positions:
C, 1B, 2B, 3B, SS, OF, OF, OF, Util, SP, SP, RP, RP, P, P, P, BN, BN, BN, BN, BN, DL

Stat categories:
R, 2B, 3B, HR, RBI, SB, K, E, AVG, OBP, W, CG, SHO, SV, K, ERA, WHIP

My Draft:
1. (1) Albert Pujols 1B
2. (20) Chris Carpenter SP
3. (21) Derek Jeter SS
4. (40) Aramis Ramírez 3B
5. (41) Brandon Webb SP
6. (60) Juan Pierre OF
7. (61) B.J. Ryan RP
8. (80) Torii Hunter OF
9. (81) Trevor Hoffman RP
10. (100) Brandon Phillips 2B
11. (101) Jason Schmidt SP
12. (120) Mike Mussina SP
13. (121) Jorge Posada C
14. (140) Nick Swisher 1B,OF
15. (141) Barry Zito SP
16. (160) Raúl Ibañez OF
17. (161) Javier Vázquez SP
18. (180) Orlando Cabrera SS
19. (181) Joe Borowski RP
20. (200) Austin Kearns OF
21. (201) Jim Edmonds OF

[g-bebe]

[ QUOTE ]
OK, just completed my first draft of the year. Picked 7th out of 12. Think I did OK, but I'm not sure. Also, I didn't want Beltre, computer auto-picked him because I was lagging and timed out.


1 Alfonso Soriano (OF, CHC)
2 Jimmy Rollins (SS, PHI)
3 Matt Holliday (OF, COL)
4 Brian McCann (C, ATL)
5 Adrian Beltre (3B, SEA)
6 Prince Fielder (1B, MIL)
7 Minnesota Twins (P, MIN)
8 New York Mets (P, NYM)
9 Ian Kinsler (2B, TEX)
10 Nick Swisher (1B, OF, OAK)
11 Carlos Quentin (OF, ARI)
12 Florida Marlins (P, FLA)
13 David DeJesus (OF, KC)
14 Kevin Kouzmanoff (3B, SD)
15 Howie Kendrick (1B, 2B, LAA)

meh?

[/ QUOTE ]

I'm surprised you were able to get your first four picks, picking 7th, so I'd say you did well.

[34TheTruth34]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
OK, just completed my first draft of the year. Picked 7th out of 12. Think I did OK, but I'm not sure. Also, I didn't want Beltre, computer auto-picked him because I was lagging and timed out.


1 Alfonso Soriano (OF, CHC)
2 Jimmy Rollins (SS, PHI)
3 Matt Holliday (OF, COL)
4 Brian McCann (C, ATL)
5 Adrian Beltre (3B, SEA)
6 Prince Fielder (1B, MIL)
7 Minnesota Twins (P, MIN)
8 New York Mets (P, NYM)
9 Ian Kinsler (2B, TEX)
10 Nick Swisher (1B, OF, OAK)
11 Carlos Quentin (OF, ARI)
12 Florida Marlins (P, FLA)
13 David DeJesus (OF, KC)
14 Kevin Kouzmanoff (3B, SD)
15 Howie Kendrick (1B, 2B, LAA)

meh?

[/ QUOTE ]

I'm surprised you were able to get your first four picks, picking 7th, so I'd say you did well.

[/ QUOTE ]

yeah, i'm definitely thrilled with my 1st 4 picks. I hate drafting OFs early in this particular league, but I absolutely had to at 7 with Soriano (Bay and Abreu both went before him, lol). Holliday is my #4 ranked OF and when it came back and he was still there, I just couldn't pass him at #31.

[crookedhat99]

10 team 5x5 roto...

I have 10th & 11th pick.

Available will be:
crawford
wright
cabrera
vlad
berkman
manny
hafner
tex
c.lee


Which 2 do you take?

[KUJustin]

Alright crockpot, prepare for a long post. I need a LOT of help. I DESTROY my friends in fantasy football EVERY year. My ability to execute a draft and work the wire blows them out of the water. But I just can't translate this into baseball and I get rocked year after year. Here are my conceptual problems (I'll get to my more specific problems in another post this will be long enough).

1. In fantasy football it all revolves around fantasy points. I basically use dynamic value based drafting to constantly evaluate what positions and players have the most value during each round and end up with great drafts.

In baseball there are categories to be balanced in addition to position-related value decisions to make. Basically I feel like you end up trying to analyze a value number for EVERY category for EVERY position in addition to splitting pitchers from hitters. To break that down mathematically seems (is?) virtually impossible and I get overwhelmed by trying to create a balanced value-based team.

2. Football is VERY situation-based. If you get the starting RB job at Denver you will likely be more successful as a player than you've ever been. Baseball is NOT very situation-based. Batting order position and surrounding personnel make a difference but that's all.

In football I gain an advantage by anticipating situation changes before my opponents. In baseball I feel like there are very few of these opportunities. Instead players mostly have to be evaluated by what they've done before and the assumption I go on that they're likely to continue doing roughly the exact same thing. There's no advantage to be gained here.

So I guess I'm basically asking two things:
1) How do I get from a set of projections to a successful draft?
2) Where do you get your advantage as far as in-season roster work?

[KUJustin]

PS - Here's my current league set-up (it's still subject to some slight changes). I guess this might help give a perspective on what I'm working with.

HEAD 2 HEAD

Roster Positions:
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
3 OF
Util

2 SP
2 RP
3 P

5 bench
2 DL

Stat Categories:
R
HR
RBI
SB
OBP

W
SV
ERA
WHIP
K/BB

The extra ratios for the pitchers started 2 years ago and I thought I had a HUGE opportunity to exploit it (my leaguemates know baseball but aren't very analytical). I got TONS of offensive guys by not going after stud pitchers and then filled in with stud relievers. What happened was guys would start their one stud against me and often be able to beat me on all the ratios by doing so. Also that was the year all the stud relievers were hurt/terrible so it really backfired. Should I still be sticking to that kind of strategy?

Sorry for being the most long-winded person in this thread.