I fold in big pot for 1 last bet

kidcolin · #1 02-16-2006, 02:58 AM

BB stinks. 40/6/something
Button is something like 28/0/.9, but only over 30 hands. Obviously hasn't gotten out of line yet

Party Poker 5.00/10.00 Hold'em (6 handed) link

Preflop: Hero is MP with A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
1 folds, Hero raises, 1 folds, Button calls, 1 folds, BB calls.

Flop: (6.40 SB) J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (3 players)
BB checks, Hero bets, Button calls, BB raises, Hero 3-bets, Button calls, BB calls.

Turn: (7.70 BB) 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (3 players)
BB checks, Hero bets, Button calls, BB calls.

River: (10.70 BB) Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (3 players)
BB checks, Hero bets, Button raises, BB folds, Hero folds.

Final Pot: 13.70 BB.

Scary_Tiger · #2 02-16-2006, 03:02 AM

nh sir.

donny5k · #3 02-16-2006, 03:13 AM

You're putting button precisely on QJ? I never fold in this spot.

brimstone1 · #4 02-16-2006, 03:13 AM

+90% confident you're beat?
How?

Please, someone share.

milesdyson · #5 02-16-2006, 03:16 AM

yeah i wouldnt fold this.

i dont expect it to be very far from a 0 EV call, but there is only one hand he can have that beats you (QJ). QQ is a slight possibility.

either way i don't feel like it's a big error at all to fold here but i think calling is best.

donny5k · #6 02-16-2006, 03:20 AM

I agree, you will see QJ often here but I believe I have seen hands like AQ here too (some people never fold AK/AQ on the flop). I'm not about to start bet/folding AA on relatively safe rivers any time soon.

kidcolin · #7 02-16-2006, 03:24 AM

[ QUOTE ]

+90% confident you're beat?
How?

[/ QUOTE ]

As Walter would say, "that's right dude. 100% certain."

Just look at the action.

kidcolin · #8 02-16-2006, 03:27 AM

I'm putting him on something that beats one pair.. that's fo' damn sho'.

I was in the zone, dude. It eluded me, however, 20 minutes later.

Matt Jenko · #9 02-16-2006, 06:17 AM

it might well be a good fold, but the reasons elude me, and i would feel dirty folding here. i might well have a leak with my big pairs and i would drop this in no limit, but here i would call and hand over the chips like a good little sucker.

Koss · #10 02-16-2006, 09:57 AM

[ QUOTE ]
I'm putting him on something that beats one pair.. that's fo' damn sho'.

[/ QUOTE ]

Word. When fish raise like this, they beat 1 pair roughly 99% of the time. The other 1% it's a misclick. An especially poor player could even have the nuts here.