AVERAGE SPEED VIII: GAME THREAD

[aaronk56]

I'm going to go back and do a full re-read before I draw any conclusions but I would like to wait for everyone to post whether or not they are the seer. At the present time, I believe McNutty.

[Nicholasp27]

if books kill is seer hunt, then horn is wolf
if bram kill is seer hunt, then bobo is wolf

i really don't think wolves are doing 'setup' kills at those points, as any day the seer comes out with a nice list of villagers that narrows down the wolves

[Our House]

[ QUOTE ]
I'd rather lynch nich than horn.

[/ QUOTE ]
Zurv,

I disagree with you and agree with Nich/MDD. The reason being that yesterday, I was quick to dismiss the books kill as any kind of seer hunt simply because I saw that books was too eager to be voted off and therefore couldn't be seer. At the time, I wasn't sure whether or not the wolves saw what I saw about books. Today, we have TWO back-to-back night kills (books, bram) that implicate Horn. Please go back and read bram's posts...you'll see what I'm talking about. Killing Nich would be wrong.

IMO, your advice is horrible right now and has been all game. Barring any additional info, I'll be voting Horn today and BobO or you tomorrow.

P.S. This is, of course, assuming that McNut is the real seer. I'm not the seer FWIW.

[Nicholasp27]

people yet to check-in to disclaim mcnutty: bobo/dmk/wmonfor

[soah]

[ QUOTE ]
I'd rather lynch nich than horn.

Although I do agree that OH is a villager, I wonder if any wolves would have hopped to bram last night like they did? There's NO reason to think that all the wolves couldn't have voted for magra, since he was the "safe" vote yesterday.

[/ QUOTE ]

I disagree entirely. The wolves obviously thought thebram was the seer. They knew Magra was not the seer. thebram had not posted for a few hours. It would be completely awesome for them to follow MDD (a villager) in a lynch of the seer, without him even being around to give his peeks before he dies. Then they point at MDD in the morning.

[Zurvan]

[ QUOTE ]

IMO, your advice is horrible right now and has been all game.

[/ QUOTE ]

My advice has been horrible? I may be wrong on horn, and if so, then I'm wrong. It'd hardly be the first time.

I think I've done a pretty damn good job in this game, and if you vote me for being wrong, I'm gonna go nuts.

[soah]

[ QUOTE ]
I'm going to go back and do a full re-read before I draw any conclusions but I would like to wait for everyone to post whether or not they are the seer. At the present time, I believe McNutty.

[/ QUOTE ]

This should be clear already, but I'm obv not the seer.

[Hornacek]

Guys, I tend not to believe McNutty for the sheer fact that peeking MDD last night is absolutely horrid. I will wait for any other seers to show themselves.

[Zurvan]

There is another way of looking at seer hunts, which explains both the books & bram eats.

If the wolves cannot find any good seer hints (and mcnutty didn't leave any, I think), they'll just eat people who look suspicious, but are not wolves. It's hardly unusual for the seer to be incredibly wolfy.

[MDoranD]

wmonfor-villager = 5 posts TOTAL this WHOLE game.

DMK- villager = 8 posts TOTAL this WHOLE game.

MDD- villager = OBVIOUS VILLAGER WHO DIDNT NEED TO BE PEEKED.

Good luck getting a lot of info from our confirmeds. It will go like this:

Wolves eat mcnutty tonight
wolves eat aaron/mdd tomorrow
wolves eat aaron/mdd the next night

and you all have the rest of the game to figure out the wolves with almost no help from confirmeds. Thats my problem with the peeks.