Two Plus Two Newer Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Newer Archives > General Poker Discussion > Poker Theory
FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 09-12-2006, 10:27 AM
Nichomacheo Nichomacheo is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 1,142
Default $100 HUSNG: Push Expected Value?

This is a cross post, since hu forum is dead!

I'm not very good at doing the math for this, so I'd appreciate any feedback:

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t20 (2 handed) internettexasholdem.com

Button (t1800)
Hero (t1200)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
<font color="#CC3333">Button raises to t40</font>, Hero calls t20.

Flop: (t80) K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">Button bets t80</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to t160</font>, Button calls t80.

Turn: (t400) 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">Button bets t200</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to t1000</font>, Button calls t800.

So here is the question. Given that I assume he will fold 60% of the time (and that he has A5), what is the EV of this move?

I'm getting something like .4(.3(1600)-.7(800)) + .6(600) = +328?

The thing I'm not sure about are the 1600, 800, and 600 numbers. Can anyone confirm or explain to me what I am doing wrong? I cant wrap my head around it.

Nichomacheo
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 09-12-2006, 05:17 PM
Nichomacheo Nichomacheo is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 1,142
Default Re: $100 HUSNG: Push Expected Value?

Bump. Can someone verify my numbers?
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 09-13-2006, 12:53 AM
Al_Money Al_Money is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: 1/2-2/4, AIM in profile
Posts: 3,460
Default Re: $100 HUSNG: Push Expected Value?

I don't know about the numbers, but why did you check/minraise the flop with bottom pair?
Reply With Quote
Reply


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 06:03 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2026, vBulletin Solutions Inc.