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#421
08-30-2006, 04:38 PM
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Re: It\'s best to do this NOW
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Why is everyone who is new to Mansion signing up through an affiliate without rakeback? I don't get it. [/ QUOTE ] Because I signed up through gamesgifts for the casino bonus and point because I could care less about rakeback at mansion. [/ QUOTE ] Does anyone know if this wager counts for the purposes of gamegifts? 
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#423
08-30-2006, 05:10 PM
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Re: It\'s best to do this NOW
[ QUOTE ]
Actually its best to have -4.5 on Pittsburgh and +5 on Miami, that way if Pitt wins by 5 exactly you push the hedged bet and, win the one on Mansion, netting you 1k, any other score and you win 450$ , depending on what odds you hedged on. [/ QUOTE ] isn't this perfect, assuming you have the roll to cover it? It's better than then a true hedge, because you still win for any score other than 5, and for 5 exactly, you basically win the 1k! Am I thinking this through incorrectly, or wouldn't this be the obvious way to go? It doesn't seem like you can lose.
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#424
08-30-2006, 05:13 PM
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Re: It\'s best to do this NOW
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Actually its best to have -4.5 on Pittsburgh and +5 on Miami, that way if Pitt wins by 5 exactly you push the hedged bet and, win the one on Mansion, netting you 1k, any other score and you win 450$ , depending on what odds you hedged on. [/ QUOTE ] isn't this perfect, assuming you have the roll to cover it? It's better than then a true hedge, because you still win for any score other than 5, and for 5 exactly, you basically win the 1k! Am I thinking this through incorrectly, or wouldn't this be the obvious way to go? It doesn't seem like you can lose. [/ QUOTE ] It guarantees a win, and has a chance at winning the full grand, but you also lose EV, just like with any hedge. The odds of hitting the middle aren't high enuough to outweigh the extra juice.
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#425
08-30-2006, 05:14 PM
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Re: It\'s best to do this NOW
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Actually its best to have -4.5 on Pittsburgh and +5 on Miami, that way if Pitt wins by 5 exactly you push the hedged bet and, win the one on Mansion, netting you 1k, any other score and you win 450$ , depending on what odds you hedged on. [/ QUOTE ] isn't this perfect, assuming you have the roll to cover it? It's better than then a true hedge, because you still win for any score other than 5, and for 5 exactly, you basically win the 1k! Am I thinking this through incorrectly, or wouldn't this be the obvious way to go? It doesn't seem like you can lose. [/ QUOTE ] while it's true you can't lose, it could have a lower EV than other options since you will be getting worse odds for the bet on MIAMI as a 5 point dog.
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#426
08-30-2006, 05:17 PM
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Re: It\'s best to do this NOW
[ QUOTE ]
Why is everyone who is new to Mansion signing up through an affiliate without rakeback? I don't get it. [/ QUOTE ] Because $90 kickback for placing this one risk free bet is better than rakeback at a poker room that hasn't had any traffic at it yet? WSEX poker is gonna be bigger than Mansion's will ever be so just play there if rakeback is a big deal. -Brendan
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#427
08-30-2006, 05:25 PM
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Re: It\'s best to do this NOW
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Why is everyone who is new to Mansion signing up through an affiliate without rakeback? I don't get it. [/ QUOTE ] Because $90 kickback for placing this one risk free bet is better than rakeback at a poker room that hasn't had any traffic at it yet? WSEX poker is gonna be bigger than Mansion's will ever be so just play there if rakeback is a big deal. -Brendan [/ QUOTE ] I don't know I'm thinking they may atract a lot of new players with lot of money to play with. I'm hitting there poker room if steelers win!
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#428
08-30-2006, 05:27 PM
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Re: It\'s best to do this NOW
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Why is everyone who is new to Mansion signing up through an affiliate without rakeback? I don't get it. [/ QUOTE ] Because $90 kickback for placing this one risk free bet is better than rakeback at a poker room that hasn't had any traffic at it yet? WSEX poker is gonna be bigger than Mansion's will ever be so just play there if rakeback is a big deal. -Brendan [/ QUOTE ] 36% rakeback + a decent bonus is much better that $90 up front if the midstakes games are any good
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#429
08-30-2006, 05:29 PM
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Re: It\'s best to do this NOW
[ QUOTE ]
I don't know I'm thinking they may atract a lot of new players with lot of money to play with. I'm hitting there poker room if steelers win! [/ QUOTE ] That's exactly what I was thinking, I guess it pays to think a few steps ahead. Rakeback here i come!
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