Will Day 3 Start Off Playing Like a Bubble Right Away?

#1 08-02-2006, 11:31 PM

I've never played in such a large-field event, so I'm having trouble conceptualizing at what point the bubble will actually form.

There will most likely be around 1100-1150 players when Day 3 starts with the blinds at 600/1200/a200 for an hour and then going to 800/1600/a200 for the next 2 hours. 873 get paid.

I have an average stack of 78K, but that is good for 2nd at the table (leader has only 81K), so there will definitely be some oppurtunities to take advantage of some tight play because of the bubble.

My only question is... will it play like a bubble right off the bat on Day 3, or will it only begin as we get closer to the money?

Kevmath · #2 08-02-2006, 11:34 PM

Maybe it'll start to tighten up when it gets to about 950.

Dynasty · #3 08-02-2006, 11:34 PM

I'd guess it will to some extent since lots of players #1 goal will be simply to cash. With 200+ players left before the bubble, you should be prepared for some ridiculously slow play at times. But, the super-tightness might not be there immediately.

CharlieDontSurf · #4 08-03-2006, 12:31 AM

GL

Nottom · #5 08-03-2006, 02:15 AM

[ QUOTE ]
There will most likely be around 1100-1150 players when Day 3 starts

[/ QUOTE ]

Its kind of sick to think about the fact that after 6 days of play there are still going to be 300 more players left than the amount that started the year Moneymaker won.

Farfenugen · #6 08-03-2006, 02:32 AM

Anybody know what % of entrants came from satellites? If that # were high that would create more people wanting to just cash the 12000 and call it a successful ME for them.

JackOfSpeed · #7 08-03-2006, 02:50 AM

[ QUOTE ]
Anybody know what % of entrants came from satellites? If that # were high that would create more people wanting to just cash the 12000 and call it a successful ME for them.

[/ QUOTE ]

At least 4400 Online Entrants, per card player's estimates.

I'm sure Rio has satellited what, another eight hundred?

#8 08-03-2006, 03:29 AM

Alright... Plan B is to establish tight image early so that I can pwn the bubble when it is clearly a bubble.

MEJG2 · #9 08-03-2006, 04:30 AM

I have a guy named Joe Hatchem 2 to my right on Friday... Any chance he is worried about making the 14K???

At least I should get some good TV time - Bubble play with Joe...

THEOSU · #10 08-03-2006, 04:35 AM

kramer,

I think it might play as a bubble early. The stacks you'll most be able to take advantage of straight from the start are those with 40-50k. Those are the stacks I would aim to attack.