[NajdorfDefense]

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OU is THE game for UT year in and year out. I think it is fair to say when the teams have been very close in skill level (ending the year ranked 4,5 and 8,9) UT has lost 35-24, 12-0. The other two years the team which seemed to have a significant advantage won.

Yes last year #4UT beat #12UM (38-37). However the year before a #5UT lost to a #12WSU(20-28. Year before #9UT beat #25 LSU (35-20). That's a 3-4 record in big games with wins as #2 vs an unranked, #4 vs #12, and #9 vs #25.

On the other hand let's look at PC. 3-0 in bowls as #1 vs #3 (51-19), #1/2 vs #4 (28-14), and #5 vs #3 (38-17). USC has 1 loss in three years, 3 losses in 4 years by a total of 13 points.


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Yeah, well in 2002, Miami had won 34 games in a row, had the nation's best offense, had won the Nat'l title the year before, had won 5 straight bowl games, had won every big game for 3 years, but the easy bet was the better Defense + 12.5 pts [Ohio St obviously.]

Texas +8 is the easy pick. They have a great Offense and a better D than USC. USC beat OK last year and their higher ranked D stuffed the Sooners. [I had USC last year because of this.]
The year before, LSU had the better D and won the Title.
The year before, OSU had the better D and won the Title.
The year before, Miami had a better D than Nebraska and...won the Title.
edit: the year before, OU had a better D and won the title,
the year before that FSU had a better D than VT and won the title...

GL taking the worse D and laying more than a TD.

Naj

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2005, Texas has the #6 ranked D, getting 7.5 and wins by 3.

Anyone sense a pattern here for betting the BCS Title game between the top 2 teams?

Naj