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Old 03-26-2006, 03:48 AM
akebono akebono is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: Fleeing 77 Mass. Ave
Posts: 175
Default Re: Pocket Fives River play

[ QUOTE ]
Check/call, really? This lets him showdown his weak hands and value bet his good ones. I might check call if our opponent is stupidly LAG aggressive. If our opponent is a decent TAG, I'd probably be more willing to check/fold than check/call. If opponent is fishy, I'd bet. I think I rarely check/call in this spot.

[/ QUOTE ]

Here's how I see it. From the play, the opponents appear fairly passive. If we bet the turn, passives with air will fold. Passives who have better pocket pairs or the T with a bad kicker may stay in. If we bet the river, I don't think there are any hands that call that don't beat us. If MP3 only holds complete air (the only hand we beat), he'll be caught between checking behind or betting as a bluff. As passive as he's played so far, I expect him to chicken out and check behind more often than bluff. On those odd times that he does muster the stones to bluff, we have to call. If he's not bluffing, he's got a hand that he would've called our river bet with anyway, but we can muck before the rest of the table sees how we played our underpair. (i.e. betting the river folds the hands we beat so no value. Checking through the river will often save us a bet. Inducing a bluff from MP3 closing the action is probably 50/50 between costing us an extra bet or earning us an extra bet. )

Check/Fold I don't like unless I know for a fact that MP3 will only bet a made hand.
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