Re: Sometimes SNGs aren\'t poker: Open-Folding QQ 3-Handed?
many people liked your line of raising to induce an any2 reraise all-in so u have a 70-80% chance of winning
i don't, as now that we know the software won't allow bb to play no matter what (unless he wakes up from his coma), we are 100% to get 2nd with 2200ish of the 9k...so we have about 42% equity if we just fold/call until bb is gone
if we lose this hand (20% of the time), then we have 0% equity
if we win, we go up to 6k, giving us 55%ish equity
.55*x>.42
x>76%
so it's close...if he really calls any2, then it's ok to push here (higher variance), but if he calls with maybe top 70%, then it's not, as you won't win 76% against that range and the 30% that he folds won't up your equity much at all
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