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Old 03-24-2006, 04:38 PM
Slim Pickens Slim Pickens is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2005
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Default Re: Sometimes SNGs aren\'t poker: Open-Folding QQ 3-Handed?

I realize there is a microstack involved so my ICM calculations will be slightly biased toward overvaluing his chips and undervaluing yours, but that should just strengthen my conclusion.

There is no possible outcome after you minraise that leaves you with less prize pool equity than you had to start the hand.

prehand: (stacks/equity in $)
(2995,5675,330)/(276,349,34)

if you fold:
(2995,5575,430)/(272,344,44) if SB folds
(2995,5875,130)/(288,357,14) if SB raises

if you minraise:
(3295,5575,130)/(295,350,14) if SB folds
(2595,6275,130)/(278,367,15) if SB raises

The 200 chips you force SB to steal from BB by raising are worth more to BB than the 400 are to you, no matter what. This is different if BB isn't sitting out.
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