Thread: What do I do?
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Old 03-23-2006, 06:22 PM
seke2 seke2 is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 3,885
Default Re: What do I do?

Oh, and, if not completely obvious, fold the turn.

Even if he's on a total bluff, he's ahead of you, since you are pretty close to the nut low right now. I'll assume he has at least 1 pair, so your only outs are 3's and maybe 8's. There's even a very chance you're drawing dead if he had T8, and a slightly higher chance that an 8 would give him a better straight.

So I'd count it as around 7.5 clean outs, discounting for the off chance that he has a better straight or could draw to one. That gives you a roughly 16% chance of winning, or about 6:1. It would cost you 1410 to win 2585, which is about 1.8:1. If you can't instafold that, you need to work on your math.
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