Re: Sort of Theory Post
Also, there was a hand in the archives where Limon agrees with what you say it was almost the exact scenario, except full ring; AT is a raise here because if opponent will not put another dime unless they improve, (btw, I dont feel this is ever the case, and thus this stipulation is stupid) the cost of calling a pot bet on turn and river (roughly 9x your initial call of the flop bet) will nto outweighthe "bluff" equity (he didnt put it in the math terms, others did, but this is in essence what he said)
this is NOT the case though; if it was a LIMPED pot I agree totally - what you taught me a while back about overrepping your hand in limped pots is one of the most valuable pieces of information I've learned - but here since we're the raiser, I strongly believe over representing your hand is a bad thing.
furthermore, reason it's bad to do with junk (and this is a secondary point) is that as said I dont think you pick up the pot enough to make the bluff a long term profitable one (even showing it down isnt going to help much, metagame wise)
|