Re: 30/60 river.......
I don't think villian is going to bet QK for you and AQ isn't part of his range. QK on a QJT8 board against a utg limper that raised the flop. I imagine even over aggressive players are thinking '[censored] this, lets show them down'.
TJ will bet for you though, the thinking being 'he checked, he doesn't have a straight, bet.'
It's marginally better if you can betfold being 100% certain but since you can't and even being wrong 5% of the time changes the whole line i'd checkcall.
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