[golfnutt]

I believe your calcalations. There are some that can win. Over an 8 to 10 year period, there will be a handful. Plus, as King Henry here pointed out, the games are getting tougher. There aren't that many fish pouring in millions of dollars to keep that many sharks afloat.

I guess it comes down to my belief of poker as a -ev isn't only based on the career path. I live in Los Angeles and I literally see hundreds of actors who think they will be the next star. They labor at restaurants and any other gig to get by. Just like poker, the majority will not make it a career path. Difference is that they were not 'polluted' by making big money. They have a strong work ethic and don't see money as the holy grail.

I am only speaking here from personal experience and what I have witnessed over 18 years. Maybe I am out of touch with the new generation of Internet Pros, but I have seen the scene played out many times.