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Old 11-12-2007, 06:03 PM
You're No Daisy You're No Daisy is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: Pinning the tail on the donkey
Posts: 482
Default Re: 50NL: AKs - How do I get to valuetown?

This is a tough question because what in the heck raises you here? A set, a smaller flush like someone holding J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]? If you raise, you might fold out the smaller flush and if you smooth call, you're giving villain a free shot at filling up.

However, in making a decision I have to go by his stats. His aggression factor is 5 and that tells us he's super aggro. He probably won't let go of this hand no matter what so I would probably shove since he has you covered. On the turn you only have about $66.35 left in your stack. Min-raising will probably get a call and only leave you roughly $24 in your stack on the river. He'll call that too because of the pot odds, so you might as well get it all in on the turn. His aggression factor indicates he doesn't like to let go of his hands. 3-betting the turn makes no sense because if he calls, you'll be left with less than $20 on the river and like I said before, he's gonna call a small river bet because of the pot odds and he's pot committed.

What do you put villain on? I think in this situation you have to put villain on a strong hand. His turn raise indicates he has a very strong hand and is not putting you on A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]. I would shove and expect to see villain turn over QQ hoping you have AA or KK. his raise on the turn is probably for value and to price out someone with AA (holding the A of diamond). We know that's not what you have...but he doesn't.

I'm assuming villain was not holding something donkish like 86?

AC
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