Re: Problem with your book
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because a long term span will also eventually include a period of time where it comes 19 heads in a row.
[/ QUOTE ] But why? Why will a long term period of time eventually include 19 heads in a row. How do you know this? You are predicting future results.... Based on past events!
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Then I've got a better challenge than playing HU...
You and I will sit down at a table with a quarter. We'll flip it over and over. Everytime we manage to flip heads 19 times in a row - you can give me 100-to-1 on any amount of money that the next (20th) flip will be tails.
Sound like a deal?
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Lol, we'll be sitting at that table for a long time. Plus I'm not saying its impossible for that coin to come up heads on the 20th flip, just more unlikely than tails. So 100:1 is a little steep. I'd definitely give you like 1.5:1 or maybe even 2:1 though.
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Think about WTF you are saying. How is it possible for a NORMAL [censored] COIN to have any other probablity than 50/50? There are only two equal sides it could land on, jackass.
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I seriously fail to see your point, in fact, your'e helping to make my point. There are only two sides for it to fall on, and it should fall on them a roughly equal amount of time. Therefore if it has fallen a lot on one side, it will need to even out eventually in this "long run" that everyone keeps talking about. No need to be rude. <font color="white"> </font>
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I am helping make your point? BAAAHAHAHAHAH
Two sides, it lands on one or the other. The coin has no brain or memory.
Your problem is you don't realize how the long the long run is. Yes things will even out but the long run is infinite.
You are the same guy that doubles his bet when he loses a hand in Blackjack. I bet you think that is a winning system too don't you?
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