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Old 10-26-2007, 01:54 PM
NYWalker NYWalker is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: Arcadia, CA
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Default Re: Top two on a scary board vs Zeejustin in Caesar\'s 10k

[ QUOTE ]

On the turn, you have top two pair on a 3-straight, 2-flush board. There is 66K in the pot and villain has 275K left. Villain could have a better hand, but since he has close to random cards, there is not reason to think a straight or set is likely.

So on the turn, I would probably checkraise to get the money in. You could also lead out for 40-50K. Check/calling is OK. It increases the risk you are drawn out on, but limits losses if you are behind. If you win the hand, it sometimes gets more money in and sometimes less.

Top two is almost as good as bottom set. It has less outs if you are behind. Pretty much no one folds this hand in this situation.

People really have to understand that you need to analyze the situation as it occurs and not look for ways to fold a hand, because the results were a loss. This thread reminds me of some of the weak/tight BS on P5.

[/ QUOTE ]

I like this analysis. Clearly, betgo is thinking in a way combined live and online plays.

cr allin the turn is OK (I would do that in other spots with such board, not in 30pp left against a deep stack, good player). It's a risky play here in case villain value bet with straight/better hands. check/call has risk of being drawn out, but since we can't call a shove if we bet or c/r (not allin), that's why I think c/c is better than bet/fold.

35K turn bet can't tell, but along with a river bet, we can see villain's range better. lose minimum and go to showdown, villain is too deep to shove for value at most rivers.
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