Re: NL10 AKs is 3-bet by solid regular, who might think I steal
From his stat's i'd probably infer that he was a coward when it came to raising preflop.
He may well have thought you were stealing, but I still think that somebody with 3.5% PFR isn't 3betting you with garbage. I'd assume that most of the time it's a coin flip if you shove, but I suppose it's still possible that he's doing this with AQ, some of the time at least.
I think chargers has a good point here. You can either ride the variance and jam it in the middle, or just fold and wait for a more certain situation.
As for calling and seeing the flop. I think you make a pair or better about 30% of the time. Is he a station post flop? If so then I think you can call and fit/fold, knowing that you've got the correct implied odds if you hit. Not totally sure about that though.
I dont know how much fold equity there is if you get AI. He looks like a wuss PF. Does that mean he folds too much PF too, or does his 3bet mean "I'm getting AI here if you let me". Not sure.
My play would depend on him. If he's a station i'm calling and looking for a good flop. If he folds too much i'm jamming (because of the fold equity + coin flip combined). If he's a rock then i'll just lay it down and pick a better spot, because I would save myself the heartache that variance brings.
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