Re: 10NL OESD picks up flush draw on turn, what\'s my play?
She hasn't CBetted, that's a 'donk-bet'. Could mean a number of things, but in a 4way pot i'd assume (as a default) that it was an ace of some sort.
I dont see why you would raise here, I'd take the implied odds and draw I think. I'm not sure how great your implied odds are though? Probably less than I think.
You've got around 15 outs on the river so ~30% chance to hit. The thing is the board has paired so she *could* have made a FH, or will make one on the river, so you need to keep that in mind.
A push here isn't good I dont think, because if she's got an ace (which I think she has judging by her bet size) you've got very very little fold equity. However that might be a good thing because she'll be less likely to fold the river if you hit one of your outs.
Will she stack off if you hit your draw? Does this give you the correct implied odds to call?
Is drawing to an OESD/FD okay, considering the board has paired?
|