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Old 03-16-2006, 01:13 PM
llabb llabb is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 1,321
Default Re: **American Idol Finals: Stevie Wonder Night

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Are people seeing value in taking Lisa Tucker as next eliminated?

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Opening odds on pinnaclesports.com

Kevin Covais +120
Bucky Covington +150
Kellie Pickler +1200
Ace Young +1200
Lisa Tucker +1200
Elliot Yamin +2000
Taylor Hicks +7000
Mandisa +7000
Paris Bennett +7000
Katharine McPhee +10000
Chris Daughtry +10000

Personally, I do not really like the odds yet, and will wait to see how they change. Lisa is takeable as a hedge for other plays, but the odds may get better, and I do not think she will actually be eliminated this week. Her fans will be in shock from her being in the bottom 3 rather than Kevin, and should respond with heavy voting next week.

Odds will change as the money comes in, so if you like these numbers, go ahead and take them. I don't, but some people see value in betting on Ace or Kellie at long odds.

Also, a LOT of money will come in on Kevin, since a huge number of people think he should go. I think he definitely should go, but will not yet imo.

If you want to get down on Kevin leaving, though, you should probably do it soon. Small chance the odds get better, if money first comes in on the longshots, but by next week's shows, he will probably be at -odds. I think he closed this week around -120.
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