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Old 10-16-2007, 08:58 PM
jay_shark jay_shark is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 2,277
Default Re: Why You Shouldnt Play HUSNG with 20 Buyins

[ QUOTE ]



I honestly have no clue how to figure out the likelyhood of having at least one 7 loss streak out of say, 100 games, but I guess I could see that being fairly likely. It doesn't exactly seem like it should be a "common" occurence, though. 100 games is a lot for most people.

[/ QUOTE ]

To figure out the exact probability you lose 7 in a row in n games with a 56% win rate could be easily shown using a recurrence relationship . A similar question was posted in the probability forum not too long ago .

f(1)=0
f(2)=0
.
.
.

f(7)=.44^7
f(8)= f(7) + 0.56*f(7)
f(n)= f(n-1) + [1-f(n-8)]*0.56*f(7) for any n>8
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