Re: Professional No-Limit Hold \'em Volume 1 Review Thread
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globally, putting 10% in against that range with 66 to set mine is negative EV. (i have done the math.)
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Here's the thing.
I'm not looking at this from a "globally" standpoint and I don't think you should either. That's why I said looking at this problem from a standpoint of "one big preflop action" is a fallacy.
If hero raises to 10bb it is certainly -EV to call when his range is AK/KK/AA. I hope you see that I'm not disputing that. Rather, I'm saying with the given problem of calling 6bb while 16.5bb are in the pot and there is 90bb behind against that same range is +EV.
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you're right that he's only calling 6% in the moment preflop. he is correct to call. but the lrr is the one who profits from the money going in.
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The kings are profiting from the original raise.
That doesn't necessarily mean that the original raise was a bad play, not knowing that we had kings this particular time that we limped.
The button actually benefits from being priced in to call the reraise. It is at our expense, even though the play might not necessarily be -EV for us because the pot at this point is offering an overlay to both hands.
I still would want to reraise a little bit more to not give my opponent +EV odds to set-mine. If we reraise to 14bb, for instance, the button is then (ignoring MP again) forced to call 10bb while the pot is 19.5bb and we have 86bb behind. This makes the buttons call with a pair a mistake, rather than allowing him to choose the correct action.
I reiterate that I feel it's better to look at every individual action and the benefits/consequences of each rather than grouping them globally.
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