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Old 10-12-2007, 05:40 AM
Bonified Bonified is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Slave to the grind
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Default Re: Child\'s QQ -v- Yang\'s JJ

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No, because those extra chips don't guarantee him anything. They still have marginally decreasing value, not linear or increasing.


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I agree but marginally is the key word. I maintain that the chip/$ EV difference here is so small it doesn't come close to turning this into a fold. But I'll try to work it out and let you know.

Edit : According to my calculations, Childs needed to be 28% to win the hand on a chip EV basis (to make the call), and 37% to win the hand on a $ EV basis. If we add $10M to first prize to account for endorsements, Childs still needed to be 34% to make the call. This is a bigger difference than I had expected.

However, if we give Yang [AA-99, AcKc, AcQc], and that might be on the conservative side, QQ is 54% to win against that range.
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