Re: STTF SNG->cash thread
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How do I set up the math to figure out how often villain has to fold to Cha's $3.50 bet assuming villain actually is ahead 60% of the time, and of course villain never calls with a losing hand?
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expectation of a bet = (times he folds * pot we win) - (times he calls * how much we bet and lose)
E(bet) = (Fw * 4.25) - (Cw * 3.50) = 0 (for breakeven point)
Fw = % villain folds winning hand
Cw = % villain calls winning hand
Cw + Fw = 1
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Thank you very much.
So can I just set the right side of the equation = 1.70 in order to find out how often the villain needs to fold in order for betting with the worst hand to be equal to checking behind?
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