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Old 10-08-2007, 01:56 AM
DevinLake DevinLake is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: Calgary, Alberta, Canada
Posts: 6,022
Default Re: getting myself into trouble again

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What??? This isn't good thinking. Your thinking should not revolve entirely around when your hand isn't good. So, the only reason to bet or not is if as a bluff, and whether you think that bluff will work?

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This was in reponse to what I thought was a general though process about whether to bet or not in any situation, not specific to this hand.

edit: but again, you simply cannot disregard the frequency your hand is good when betting here. It's very important.

If you make a 200 bet into a 300 pot, you need to get a fold 40% of the time. The amount your hand is good, plays a large part in getting that fold. If you hand is good only 10% against his range, you need him to fold 30% of his range that beats u.
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