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http://www.tangotiger.net/welist.html
WE with 1st and 2nd, 0 out: .816
WE with 2nd and 3rd, 1 out: .839
Also, you have to at least skew it slightly for the chance of Blake popping up the bunt or bunting it so poorly that Jorge throws Lofton out at third.
EDIT: IBB to Sizemore drops it to .835...still more than 1st and 2nd with nobody out.
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Do you know what year(s) those numbers are from? The ones I've got are significantly different.