Thread: *** ALDS Game 2: Yankees vs. Indians (Pettite/Carmona)
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Old 10-05-2007, 09:41 PM
Neuge Neuge is offline
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Default Re: *** ALDS Game 2: Yankees vs. Indians (Pettite/Carmona)
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run expectancy charts have 1&2 no outs and 2&3 w/ 1 out essentially even. factor in success rate and IDK

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And factor in Sizemore vs. Droob.

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Wrong chart. Check RunEx for bases loaded 1 out since they are going to walk Sizemore.

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Run expectancy is wrong anyway because you only need 1 run...?

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Win expectancy is pretty much identical as well (.795 vs .796). Win expectancy with bases loaded 1 out is .834
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