[Kos13]

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run expectancy charts have 1&2 no outs and 2&3 w/ 1 out essentially even. factor in success rate and IDK

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And factor in Sizemore vs. Droob.

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Wrong chart. Check RunEx for bases loaded 1 out since they are going to walk Sizemore.

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Run expectancy is wrong anyway because you only need 1 run...?

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Walk, HBP.

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I guess you also have to factor in that it's Vizcaino the Walk Machine on the mound, and with Pronk on deck, that probably cancels out the whole Sizemore vs. Droob thing.

Obviously, there's no way to break this down and say X is Y percent more correct than Z, but I'd be surprised if it's a slam dunk for bunting.