Re: NL25 - AQ flops TPTK, faces resistance from a passive player
Trying to do some hand-reading, he either has an overpair (not likely due to pre-flop, but maybe) (9 combos), a set (7 combos) or two-pair (8 combos of Q9, 93 is ignored). He's not likely to raise an OESD draw.
If he'll raise the flop with KQ (8 combos) and then check the turn, that's 8 combos you're ahead vs. 24 combos you're behind, or about 1:3, and you're getting 2:7.35 pot odds. But you've got a lot of reverse implied odds if you happen to improve that would tempt you to keep calling, so it might be best to just fold the flop.
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