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Old 10-02-2007, 02:03 PM
friedace friedace is offline
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Join Date: May 2007
Posts: 114
Default Re: High Stakes Poker thread (10/1) (Spoilers?)

[ QUOTE ]


Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

14,850 games 0.005 secs 2,970,000 games/sec

Board: Kd Tc 7d
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 25.630% 25.52% 00.11% 3790 16.00 { KhQh }
Hand 1: 74.370% 74.26% 00.11% 11028 16.00 { TT, 77, AdQd, AdJd, AdTd, KTs, QdJd, Jd9d, T7s, 9d8d }
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[/ QUOTE ]

I think this is the most reasonable range so far. I agree that previous replies with Adxd in the range are way too loose. Jennifer is really tight and I don't think she'd raise with two pair, a set, or a combo draw.

I also don't get how daniel did this.

Flop (13k)
Daniel bets 8k
Jen raises to 32k, and has ~35k behind.

So to Daniel, he has to think that with his bet, there's 21k in the pot and he's either all in or fold, so the total pot is 21 + 32 + 35 = 88. And it's 67k for him to call, so he's getting 88:67 or 1.3:1. So he needs about 43% equity. Against an LAG or maybe even an unknown, this is a possible call. But against Jennifer?

I like Daniel, but his play here is simply unexplainable.
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