Re: NL10 - Overpair deep, best line on flop/turn?
Firstly his stats are only over 75 hands. I've found that stats can look very wrong over this many hands (although the more active the quicker they look right so might be alright). I'm still trying to figure out at what levels they should be taken seriously (any tips would be greatful). His VPIP here, I would say makes it an easier fold since theres more hands he can have that have u beat. His PFR I would say suggests that he's not gonna be limp calling with KK AQ etc much meaning thats it's unlikely he's playing a lot of the hands that might pay you off. The af is more important and although he's aggressive I don't think it makes it an OK push. If he's seen a few showdowns then maybe %win at SD might help.
This 3bet is not min raise this time. Does he min raise a lot? Seems like he might have it this time.
If uve been pushing him around alot maybe ur gonna get called by more hands but apart from TPGK and TP&FD there's not much else he's calling with that ur beating.
I say fold. Prob 44, 99 or J10cc. With a VPIP like that Q9 and 94 are likely too. Out of interest how many showdowns has he seen and his %win at SD.
|