Re: Organizing a project to determine which sites are legit or rigged
The way I see it is this -
If you analysed allin five hands to see if there was balancing you would calculate the EV for each hand and add it up to give your EV result - say your EV calculation says you should be up $3000 from these five hands.
Then you deal the cards and calculate your actual result - say you got $2000.
So you are up 2/3 of what you should be.
Now obviously that means less than nothing because the sample size is miniscule. But if you did it for a couple of million hands from several winning players if a result showed up that the actual winnings were only 2/3 of what they should be well then that would be extremely daming evidence. I don't get why some people are proposing complex statistical anaylsis, all that is need is an EV-Actual result comparison from a big enough sample of hands from winning players. If there is a big discrepancy then there is a problem.
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