Re: Trips on the flop
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I meant a flop of 777, but I'm glad I was unclear, because pantsonfire's post was very helpful as well as the others!
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Against one opponent, the chance of him holding a 7 (on the flop) is 2/47 or 4.3%. That's a pretty low probability. If I had a nice high pocket pair, I would be pretty happy. However, if the effective stack size was deep, I wouldn't go overboard. I'd be looking to bet 1/2 to 2/3 pot as value bets. If the effective stack was short, I would be thinking all-in very soon.
Most of the time, with this sort of board, I would be playing to see who got the better full house. I think mathematically, if you have a good full house here you will make enough profit to cover the times when you lose to quads.
And Albert, I not giving up sevens over aces here very often if ever.
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