[TNixon]

You don't have to maintain a 63% WR for an aggressive bankroll strategy to be effective.

58% is enough that you're leaving tons of money on the table if you wait too long to move up, and high enough that there's a fairly low risk of ruin even playing as little as 7 buyins. (I think 5 is too low unless you're *positive* that you're a solid winner at the level)

Option 3 doesn't fail because you can't maintain 30% ROI. It doesn't fail at all, unless you very quickly hit a buyin level where you're not actually a winning player, and I don't really view that as failure, since you get more games in at that level more quickly with the more agressive strategy. It just leaves you moving up and down a lot more than the other options.

But no matter what your winrate is, waiting for too many buyins before moving up is leaving *tons* of value on the table. Of course, lower winrates will leave you with a bigger risk of ruin, but you really don't need 63% to be safe. Well, maybe you do need 63% to play 5 buyins, but 58% is good enough for 7-8.