Re: Absolute Cheating
[ QUOTE ]
i need more popcorn i guess...
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Results:
for 100 hand spans using 13400 hands the confidence interval (usually you use 90% or 95%, that means in 90% you will be below this win rate over 100 hands) is:
90%: 103.65bb/100
95%: 124.07bb/100
99%: 164.15bb/100
99.999%: 283.99bb/100
99.99999999999%: 480.77bb/100
or 1:10000000000000 or 1:10E14
[/ QUOTE ]
Interesting analysys. Good work. We need more of this.
[/ QUOTE ]
[/ QUOTE ]
Minor nitpick: These are statistics based on actual good, presumably tight, play. If you based the winrate based on the play of the players in question, I'm sure the average win-rate would be negative, but the STD deviation a lot, lot bigger. It wouldn't change the end result, but instead of 1 in a trillion, it might be 1 in a billion.
|