Re: Absolute Cheating
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i think if the guys who coordinate this whole thing (adanthar, schneids, et al) compile one pt-db with all the evidence, put it up somewhere for everyone to download (raw data as well as pt-screens, summaries and so on) and find a credibal source who can do the math to prove that these post update luck stretches for these 5 players are, statistically speaking, very near to impossible, that'd be something that couldn't be ignored by absolute so lightly as they are dealing with the issue right now.
jmtc
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Unfortunately, I don't think a *purely* statistical argument conclusively proving wrongdoing is going to be possible. Take, for example, the river aggression statistics. A skeptic can always argue that this guy is just so good that he can tell whether you have it or not by your betting patterns or bet timing or whatever, and that's what lets him play the way he does. Now, of course, I believe that argument would be completely bogus, but it's not really susceptible to statistical disproof, in the sense of a mathematical proof.
Of course, statistics can still help us make a very convincing *argument*.
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