Re: 200nl - AK flops TP and faces heat from aggro opponent.
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I'm never ever folding this. You're behind 88/A9 only. And one quad combo. Question is how to get to sd. I'm thinking making a delayed call on the turn hoping to induce one more bluff on the river is fine. C/r turn is fine as well. Just don't fold the river ever.
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And you are ahead of what? A very optimistic AQ? Random draws that OP's read rules out? You can't just say "ZOMG WE ONLY LOSE TO A FEW HANDS!!1!!!!1!11"
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OP said he "feels" villain re-raises strong aces preflop. I believe him. The rest of the post he's going on analysing villain's bet- and raise-sizes, this is not being based on a the actual read of the player.
When he raises the flop he might have a fd, JT, 76, A9/A8/99/88 or air imo. On the flop the combos we're behind are 10 (assuming villain won't call off-suit Ax). On the turn we're ahead of 2 of those and the combos we're behind has decreased to 5. There's tons of FDs and oesd possible though.
I'm going to go ahead and say: ZOMG WE ONLY LOSE TO A FEW HANDS!!1!!!!1!11
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