Re: Post here when coaches do something obviously stupid
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There must be some research done on the EV of this somewhere??? There has to be a reason that at least some NFL coaches don't do this.
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I think it's to avoid explaining it to the media if it costs you the game. If you do it and win, you're a genius. If you do it and lose, you're an even bigger idiot. Media and fans don't understand variance and results-oriented-thinking, so coaches take the safe route.
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I think eventually, within 10 years or so, some coach is going to come along and make correct but non-conventional wisdom and really expose some of this stuff. Then he'll have to deal with complaints from the NFLPA on behalf of the punters of the world.
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