Re: Post here when coaches do something obviously stupid
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There must be some research done on the EV of this somewhere??? There has to be a reason that at least some NFL coaches don't do this.
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I think it's to avoid explaining it to the media if it costs you the game. If you do it and win, you're a genius. If you do it and lose, you're an even bigger idiot. Media and fans don't understand variance and results-oriented-thinking, so coaches take the safe route.
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Bingo, this is totally it. The first coach that does this in a big game and it fails, will be incorrectly dubbed a moron ad nauseum by every 2 bit sports radio jerk with a microphone and every incompitent analyst at ESPN.
Going for 1 to make it 7 is "safe" and low variance and doesn't rock the boat.
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