Re: Correct to fold here?
I think its a pretty close call either way. In a 4$, I would be inclined to just push here, and expect to see AKo or even AQs or TT/99 often enough that this is just fine.
If we know this guy is a nit, yeah we can fold Jacks with these stack sizes, and if I have history with him and know he 3 bets with top 3% or less, then yeah, we can muck here, especially in a much higher buyin. At 4$, this could even be 33 for petes sake, unless we know hes a winner.
Im generally on the felt with under 40bb in my preflop stack a hand like JJ, in a low buyin.
having a caller of our raise behind us yet to act complicates matters. Doing the math is very hard here...
Lets say we had raised and we are now last to act on this push. Even if we know he is raising top 3%, we are going to have odds to push here. He needs to be tighter than that on his 3bet to fold.
The flat caller could still have speculative garbage. He could have an underpair to our jacks and think if we call that he should go along for the ride. Much more likely he sees an overpush and he realizes he is in way over his head unless he has QQ+.
This much overlay, this low of a buyin, I really think a push is the right play here.
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