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Old 09-16-2007, 08:53 AM
eljizzle eljizzle is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: Las Vegas, NV
Posts: 455
Default Re: Do we really know that online poker is on the level? I.E., not rig

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DB is significant. From wikipedia, "The coin is tossed 12000 times with a result of 5961 heads (and 6039 tails). What interval does the value of r (the true probability of obtaining heads) lie within, if a confidence level of 99.999% is desired? Ans: .4766 < r < .5169" Obviously if you had a million hands instead of very few, you could find a stronger trend.

Anyways, on big sites it isn't rigged, because even a very small rigging, in any way, shows up in the long run, as the standard deviation shrinks to next to nothing in comparison with the expected value.

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Couldn't the software determine when and when not to rig a hand so that it didn't show up in the long term analysis? Or for every hand it rigs involving a lot of money and/or to keep a player in the action (or whatever the site's hypothetical motive is in the first place) it rigs an irrelevant hand in the opposite way so as to "appear" random?
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