Re: Nl25 tptk on drawy board
Once you're raised on the flop, there's $11.75 in the pot, it's $3.75 for you to call and villain has $9.85 left.
Given stack sizes, I think calling the flop and folding the turn is pretty ugly, unless the turn is a really horrid card, so i'd rather get it in now, if at all. Equally, checking the turn lets villain see the river for free.
If you push and villain never folds, you are putting $13.70 in to win a pot of $35. You need 40% equity to be EV neutral. That's the sort of equity you have vs. {98, T9, JT, QTs}. Even adding 88,99 only reduces this to 35%, unless i'm mistaken. Add some worse hands/flush draws and I don't hate a push here. Equally, I don't think folding is terrible given the push is likely close to EV neutral, and high variance.
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