Re: NL25 - river play
Unfortunately, your bets here make it really hard to play your hand. They are just too small to really know what villain's calls mean. [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]
As played I would c/c any reasonably-sized river bet. However, if we were starting from scratch I'd bet more the whole way.
Starting with PF, I'd make it $1.50 to go. Not only are there two limpers, but it's so darn hard to play OOP. On the flop I'd bet between 2/3 and 3/4 of the pot. There is no FD here so I'm good with 2/3 but I don't want to bet any less than that as we want to be getting value from TP, MP, or any SD. On the turn we now hope he wasn't playing with the Q but like you said, I really do think a weaker A is more likely. For this street I like between 1/2 and 2/3 pot.
If he has now called the first two streets even though our bets were good-sized, we have a decision to make on the river. We are OOP and we can't be sure what villain has. Merely checking now is asking for villain to bluff us out, but I'm not really wanting to put much more into our hand. I think here I would make a smallish river block and fold to a raise.
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