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Old 09-08-2007, 12:56 PM
Peter Harris Peter Harris is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Emergency Bog Roll
Posts: 5,909
Default Re: passing up bringing home a 7 for a 10-15% chance at a 10+

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100% of 7 = 7
15% of 10 = 1.5

7 > 1.5

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I really like this analysis.

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Except for people I knew in college, most weekends it was

5% of 10

50% of 7

100% of 4


So while this formula will say 4 > 3.5 > 0.5

I'd rather have the 7 and beat off every other weekend than get go for the 4.

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simple expected utility then.
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