Re: passing up bringing home a 7 for a 10-15% chance at a 10+
2+ months slump = go with the 7, easy. I would also make the point that dating/sleeping with 10's is often overrated. They're usually total pains in the ass and suck in bed from a lifetime of not having to try at all.
Also, I think if you have a good conversation with the 10 and then leave with the 7, you make yourself more attractive to the 10. She starts thinking, "Why did he go for my friend instead of me, he doesn't like me, I'd better get to know him better" etc.
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