Re: 50NL; AA vs. known 2+2\'er
I think this a very reasonable line. Our goal is to maximize EV and against an aggressive opponet c/c three streets is the way to go and since the money went in by the river, there is absolutely no way a raise anywhere is needed. You bet and raise with AA to get the money in the middle, but the money went in anyway. I just donīt understand why people say raise when all the money went in.
Ok now what does he have? Much of your reasoning seems to be that he would play a hand with showdown value like 77 and try to bluff you off what looks to him like TT or something. I just donīt see that happening that often unless you have some serious history. Since you donīt think he can have top pair and overplay it I think it is a fairly trivial fold. I mean, if have seen him shove river just once as a bluff I think I could be swayed. I can see him take two stabs but the river is a fold.
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