Re: I\'m bored
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on the hand:
i'm surprise Aaron would include a 'read' that is actually based on limited stats ...
by stats he isn't exactly passive (unless Aaron saw a couple of spots that would indicate that villain just hit a couple of solid hands in this time frame to bump is AF up ... and also noticed other spots where villain called down with OK hands, as well as weak hands)
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I presented the read and said it was weakly supported by the stats. I didn't really want to get into the details of the read (it was pretty late when I posted). But the general idea was that he was a player who saw lots of flops, didn't raise very much preflop or postflop.... he was a passive player.
But putting this aside for a moment, I think this situation is generally a bet-fold or check-call situation. I think you would need to find a player who has a very high bluff-raising/misplaced raising frequency before making a bet-call correct.
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i generally agree with you in this spot (I can't see what will raise that you beat. Nor am a thrilled about checking and calling ... normally these guys will just call with their crappy ace) ... i just can't fold to a relative unknown without at least a weak or lame showdown from him
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