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Old 09-05-2007, 02:05 PM
fifield fifield is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Chicago
Posts: 392
Default Re: Daliman\'s NFL Wong teasers, Season Deux

[ QUOTE ]
Too tired to run the numbers on the value or loss of value from teasing a # from +3 to +9 as opposed to +2.5 to +8.5. Anyone have that info laying around?

Roughly 37% of reg season games are won by 3-7 points and another 4.5% by 8 or 9.

3 pts 16.1%
4 4.7%
5 2.9%
6 5.7%
7 9.8%
8 3.2%
9 1.2%

Those are close rounded estimates for margin of victory.
So I am trying to figure out if teasing all those bad 2.5 lines on 5Dimes at +100 2 team odds is worthwild or not. We don't lose much landing on 8.5 instead of 9.

-Brendan

[/ QUOTE ]

Is that 3-pt fig including 1- and 2-pt wins as well? If not, you got the figs please for 1- and 2-pt wins? Thanks,

fifield
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