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has anybody played with
Toeswinger enough to guess if he's a winning player at 200NL?
i feel like i'm running sick bad, but it lasts so long that i can't blame it solely on variance. probably i've become pretty weak-tight after a few downswings. i'm trying to fix this, but i keep running bad.
also a general question:
how likely is it, an intelligent person who plays a lot (about 2000 hands a day) and also spends a lot of time reading 2+2, watching cardrunners videos and just "working on his game" the last four monts is actually a losing player at 200NL?
(i've played poker before for about half a year at 25NL to 100NL, but not that intensively)
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more info:
this is my graph since i played "seriously".
from hands 0 to 60,000 i played 20,000 hands at party 200NL and 20,000 at party 400NL, each with a winrate of 4.6 BB/100.
i've reviewed some sessions from that time, i had definitely a few leaks, made some very questionable plays sometimes. so if it was a 60,000 hands long heater, then it was a hell of a heater.
i feel like i'm clearly a better player now.
that first drop after 60,000 was just a very bad streak, but obviously i never recovered. i stepped down to 200NL when my bankroll shrunk too much.
would really appreciate your thoughts.