Re: pokerev, winning pots without showdown [theory]
It's also a common misconception that the blue and red line should converge. They shouldn't and they won't.
The difference between the two lines divided by the total number of hands ( (blue-red)/#hands ) converges to zero for large numbers of hands, but that doesn't mean that the lines themselves converge. It means that the average variance per hand converges to zero for large numbers of hands.
In fact, if you ran bad for -$1000 over a few K hands, you shouldn't expect to get back to $0 in the future. You should expect it to be still around -$1000 in the future. So at any given moment, if there is a difference between the blue and the red line, you should expect that this difference stays about the same on average. When that happens, that's when variance 'sorted out'.
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